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Market Corrections: a time to buy

As we write this letter, equity markets are down some 26% on a year-to-date basis, as measured by the S&P500. This is the worst performing first half of a year over the last 50 years. In this situation it is natural to be concerned. But it is even better to be informed. Please note that…

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Corrections that are guaranteed. Upturns that are inevitable.

At Tralucent, we just about guarantee that the stock markets will correct almost every year between 7 to 10 percent, and sometimes even more. What inevitably follows is the upturn, and we expect that the current correction in the stock market should be no different. The end to the Ukraine conflict is hopefully nearing, and…

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Federal Reserve Bank – NOT a Punishing God

In short order the Equity markets have declined some 10 percent from their highs. Why? Because the Federal Reserve Bank is very likely to raise interest rates. There is fear that these higher rates will then significantly affect the economy, which will then negatively affect stock prices. It is very important to keep in mind…

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Our Response to the Nuvo Corona virus

Putting events into perspective of a 100 Trillion dollar economy: As we have previously explained in person to some of our clients, such phenomena as a virus breaking out are quite common BUT insufficient to derail the worlds economies. These things are simply NOT grounds to be getting alarmed about. The world economy is over 100…

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Should you invest in cryptocurrencies right now?

In a word. NO. Before I continue, I’m going to assume that you are already aware of what cryptos (cryptocurrencies) are. As such, I’m going to try and focus on how I think about cryptos and look at them as an investment. First, let’s figure out what helps to determine a good investment. A quick…

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A Review of Equity Markets December 2018

BEING THANKFUL FOR THE CORRECTION AND THE OPPORTUNITY TO BUY Summary: The US Equity markets are down some 10% from their highs. We should all thank our stars for this wonderful Holiday gift where we can add to high quality shares at approximately 10% less than what they were going only a few weeks ago.…

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Interest rates and stock markets, October 2018

In summary: Interest rates must go up dramatically to something like 7% before they become threat to the stock market. The reason is that the expected profit from the stock market is at least 7%. So, interest rates must move up to that level where they will become a source of serious competition. Expected Earnings…

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A Response Client Questions about Crypto and Marijuana Stocks

First, we are very aware of Canopy Growth Corp. We initially researched Canopy late 2016 with the mind to short the company. Canopy is one of a hundred stocks that got a lot of attention this year due to the Canadian Governments move to decriminalize/legalize marijuana.  You should understand, in situations like this where there…

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